Interesting juxtaposing of the psychology. Suggested a more business oriented look at the themes being discussed, NewHumanitarian, where your contribution caused a few more thoughts.
Culture trumps strategy - Tom Peters, and the culture fits back to the psychology points. The culture has established working practices and power dynamics and, once power consolidates, it is difficult to break to new working models. Thought collectives and issues raised regarding thinking simply reinforces the present norms; be they false or otherwise (As per Kuhn and paradigm shifts in science). Facts evolve - the example recently used of Gonorrhoea and early beliefs it was punishment for immoral behaviour before viruses were understood as fully as they are now (Covid reflecting just how this is still a work in progress to challenge facts).
Facts about aid and development? Return to your three elements and place a question before this - exactly what is aid and development for? The industry intself? Salving consciences? Saving lives and if so for what purpose if people are condemned to wait until the next crisis? The poverty trap reinforced
It is an industry bringing some business skills to bear changes the nature of what we are looking to do - Basic functional analysis would answer the questions on efficiency and effectiveness if there were not tremendous different interests at play. But these can be looked at as well. What is apparent are the self referencing and self reverential approaches where tools and techniques are adapted and adopted and then used and abused to perpetuate the industry. It is a mature industry and time for a shake out as the challenges for virtually all societies require approaches where we start to question political and socio-economic leadership and engagement. Salving consciences is no longer enough